{"id":24011,"date":"2020-08-16T15:40:00","date_gmt":"2020-08-16T20:40:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.paulryburn.com\/blog\/?p=24011"},"modified":"2020-08-16T15:41:21","modified_gmt":"2020-08-16T20:41:21","slug":"sunday-afternoon-update-trip-wires-finna-trip","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.paulryburn.com\/blog\/2020\/08\/16\/sunday-afternoon-update-trip-wires-finna-trip\/","title":{"rendered":"Sunday afternoon update: Trip wires finna trip?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I was going to take today off, but I caught the <a href=\"https:\/\/insight.livestories.com\/s\/v2\/covid-19-data-dashboard-%7C-shelby-county-tn\/e381a899-7ffe-43fe-b80f-c9e63ebfcef6\">Shelby County Health Department&#8217;s COVID-19 data dashboard page<\/a> in a rare moment when it was actually working, and the numbers are looking good.<\/p>\n<p>7-day rolling new case average (third chart from the top) for August 10, which is the last 7 days of new cases including today, is 211. That&#8217;s the average based on the date the test was administered, not when the results were reported.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Trip wire to consider opening limited service restaurants is 180, only 31 lower.<\/li>\n<li>Rolling 7-day new case average dropped by more than 31 in the past six days; hopefully it&#8217;ll do so again in the next six.<\/li>\n<li>Down from a high of 405, which was the 7-day rolling average July 13-19. That&#8217;s quite a drop in less than a month.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>7-day rolling positivity rate (fifth chart from the top) is 12.8%. Again, that&#8217;s the average for the date tests were administered, not reported.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Trip wire to consider opening limited service restaurants is 10%, only 2.8% away.<\/li>\n<li>Rolling 7-day positivity rate dropped by more than 2.8% in the past ten days; hopefully it&#8217;ll do so again in the next ten.<\/li>\n<li>Down from a high of 16.4%, the rolling 7-day average July 18-24. Not as significant a drop as in the new case rolling average, but still, heading in the right direction.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Keep an eye on these charts (when they&#8217;re working). It could well be that in another week or two it&#8217;ll be time to have a conversation about getting things back to normal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I was going to take today off, but I caught the Shelby County Health Department&#8217;s COVID-19 data dashboard page in a rare moment when it was actually working, and the numbers are looking good. 7-day rolling new case average (third chart from the top) for August 10, which is the last 7 days of new &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.paulryburn.com\/blog\/2020\/08\/16\/sunday-afternoon-update-trip-wires-finna-trip\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Sunday afternoon update: Trip wires finna trip?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.paulryburn.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24011"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.paulryburn.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.paulryburn.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.paulryburn.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.paulryburn.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24011"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/www.paulryburn.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24011\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24013,"href":"http:\/\/www.paulryburn.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24011\/revisions\/24013"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.paulryburn.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24011"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.paulryburn.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24011"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.paulryburn.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24011"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}<!-- WP Super Cache is installed but broken. The path to wp-cache-phase1.php in wp-content/advanced-cache.php must be fixed! -->