I was going to take today off, but I caught the Shelby County Health Department’s COVID-19 data dashboard page in a rare moment when it was actually working, and the numbers are looking good.
7-day rolling new case average (third chart from the top) for August 10, which is the last 7 days of new cases including today, is 211. That’s the average based on the date the test was administered, not when the results were reported.
- Trip wire to consider opening limited service restaurants is 180, only 31 lower.
- Rolling 7-day new case average dropped by more than 31 in the past six days; hopefully it’ll do so again in the next six.
- Down from a high of 405, which was the 7-day rolling average July 13-19. That’s quite a drop in less than a month.
7-day rolling positivity rate (fifth chart from the top) is 12.8%. Again, that’s the average for the date tests were administered, not reported.
- Trip wire to consider opening limited service restaurants is 10%, only 2.8% away.
- Rolling 7-day positivity rate dropped by more than 2.8% in the past ten days; hopefully it’ll do so again in the next ten.
- Down from a high of 16.4%, the rolling 7-day average July 18-24. Not as significant a drop as in the new case rolling average, but still, heading in the right direction.
Keep an eye on these charts (when they’re working). It could well be that in another week or two it’ll be time to have a conversation about getting things back to normal.